U.S. Senate
See Full Big Line
(D) J. Hickenlooper*
(R) Somebody
80%
20%
Governor
See Full Big Line
(D) Phil Weiser
(D) Joe Neguse
(D) Jena Griswold
60%
60%
40%↓
Att. General
See Full Big Line
(D) M. Dougherty
(D) Alexis King
(D) Brian Mason
40%
40%
30%
Sec. of State
See Full Big Line
(D) A. Gonzalez
(D) George Stern
(R) Sheri Davis
50%↑
40%
30%
State Treasurer
See Full Big Line
(D) Brianna Titone
(R) Kevin Grantham
(D) Jerry DiTullio
60%
30%
20%
CO-01 (Denver)
See Full Big Line
(D) Diana DeGette*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-02 (Boulder-ish)
See Full Big Line
(D) Joe Neguse*
(R) Somebody
90%
2%
CO-03 (West & Southern CO)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Hurd*
(D) Somebody
80%
40%
CO-04 (Northeast-ish Colorado)
See Full Big Line
(R) Lauren Boebert*
(D) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-05 (Colorado Springs)
See Full Big Line
(R) Jeff Crank*
(D) Somebody
80%
20%
CO-06 (Aurora)
See Full Big Line
(D) Jason Crow*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-07 (Jefferson County)
See Full Big Line
(D) B. Pettersen*
(R) Somebody
90%
10%
CO-08 (Northern Colo.)
See Full Big Line
(R) Gabe Evans*
(D) Yadira Caraveo
(D) Joe Salazar
50%
40%
40%
State Senate Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
80%
20%
State House Majority
See Full Big Line
DEMOCRATS
REPUBLICANS
95%
5%
July 10, 2007 06:14 PM UTC
32 Comments
Loading ...
Has Hillary up by double digits and since Obama claims he wont go negative not sure how he’ll be able to knock her off.
The “I won’t go negative” excuse, used by vice presidential candidates like Jon Edwards when they want to say “I don’t really want to win, just come in second place”. I don’t care what people say that line is a bunch of crap said by someone who just wants to be the VP on the ticket.
While I understand the inclination to doubt candidates’ desire to win if they publicly declare their campaign strategy (i.e. just because you’re not going negative doesn’t mean it’s wise to publicize this…especially if you do change your mind), I don’t think it is grounds to argue that they’re gunning for VP, especially since “runner-up” is not guaranteed any spot on the ’08 ballot.
…I think it is clear that the Blues are out for Republican Blood, and are not going to risk this election with party squabbling. That is…any Democratic candidate who values their political future would be a fool (and perhaps a closet Republican) to open fire on their own party.
to win the nomination doesn’t necessarily mean opening fire on your own party. and I understand runner-up is not guaranteed a spot as VP, but the guy who tangles with the leader has worse odds if it doesn’t work out.
Thos fictious “every poll” statements are cute, but not they don’t hold water. Have you forgotten 2004 already? Who was leading in the polls before the primary?
Heck, 10 days before the Iowa caucuses in 04, Dean had a comfortable margin and as followed by Gephardt…DICK GEPHARDT for christ’s sake… Kerry and Edwards were bringing up the rear (haha, that just sounds wierd) until the Des Moines Register tracking poll came out 5 days before the caucus.
http://www.pollster….
Hillary leads nationally and in every early primary state. If Obama has so much support why isn’t it showing up in the polls?
Obama’s already negated his statements about not going negative by showing he has the typical opposition research team preparing attacks against Hillary. He’s just kept (most of) it under wraps thusfar.
And I should hope so. If they keep just smiling at each other, we’ll be stuck with President Clinton. And nothing at all will change.
Hillary has done nothing to remove herself from the top slot, and the others have done nothing that would knock her from it.
Good post.
It’s the adults vs. the kids. The kids won in the 2004 primaries. And the Dems lost.
How will the adults regain control?
how Hillary wins the general. She might even lose a state or two that went to Kerry. Dem candidate needs to take everything Kerry took (almost any Dem can do that) and add a few. 2006 showed that candidates perceived as straight shooting moderates with populist appeal can win as Dems in the west and midwest. That’s NOT Hillary. Unfortunately it sure seems as though Gore could win every state he won in 2000, including Florida but by too much to let it get stolen this time, and could add to that with an energizing ticket including Obama or by adding western and Hispanic-American appeal with Richardson. Too bad it looks like his son has probably made up Gore’s mind for him definitively against going through another presidential campaign.
just who do you think obama is energizing cause its not voters?
an incredible number of small donors. I think Hillary is leading by so much only because those who don’t want her haven’t united behind any other single choice. I don’t see her attracting more support going forward. I see a lot of people who don’t want Hillary but are still not sure who they prefer as an alternative. Also, Polls these days are often misleading since, in the age of caller ID, cell phones, etc., lots of people, from the young to busy professionals, often don’t answer unscreened calls so phone polls can miss exactly the kind of voters who are excited about Obama.
against Obama Hillary is beating him by 20+ points. People don’t hate Hillary as much as you think. They know the Clintons and they know that times were better under a the clinton watch. Who wouldn’t want to go back to that.
I think that people hate Clinton as much as people here say they do. She isn’t her husband, and party affliation aside, can’t we have a president other than a Bush or Clinton, or are they the only ones that know how to run the country?
the republicans are falling apart, and dems have a talent for shooting themselves in the foot. I’m not saying it couldn’t happen but right now Clinton will likely be our next president.
…only Clinton knew how to run the country. Poppy was OK, his son the disaster that he is.
Hilary has no chance in ohio, she may be able to pull FL. Don’t see how she can put together enough small states to make 18 votes.
The VP may actually matter in this race. That’s why Richardson is almost a slamdunk for VP. Unless the nominee is Obama then the VP will be old white guy, Biden, Dodd, Maybe Wes Clark (not so old), with good foriegn policy credentials.
…that the two men (inc. Hillary) with the best C.V.’s are Gore and Richardson. One probably won’t run, although I hope he will, and the other can’t get the traction he deserves.
Gore keeps coming in third in almost every poll (inc. here) for over a year.
In a poll last week, 52% of Americans reported that they would NOT vote for Hillary Clinton. And that question wasn’t even a “Hillary vs. (Insert Republican)” question!
I just don’t see how she can win, despite her advantage over other Democrats in the polls, with more than half of America against her already. She just can’t pull the moderates required to win. She’s too polarizing.
Loved Bill clinton, but do really need 28 years of Clinton/Bush?
Time to turn the page
Why oh why did she have to be Pres. Clinton’s wife? I’m not her biggest fan, but she’s capable of handling the job and I’d vote for her if she was the nominee.
But… If I had her or someone equally as serious a candidate, I’d go for the other person just because I think this country needs to keep a tight reign on this whole budding dynasty thing.
Who thinks like that? The 28 years crap is such a false choice. When faced with the serious issues our country is facing no one is going to not vote for Hillary because they don’t like the dynstacy effect. Voters are going to think about how this election will impact them and make their choice accordingly, not based on how our presidents are lined up.
I will vote against Hillary due to the “Dynasty Effect” as you call it – at least if there’s another qualified alternative.
and there is no qualified alternative. I don’t see a majority of americans voting against their own interests on healthcare, education, Iraq, immigration etc, just because they don’t to create a bush/clinton legacy.
And they’re listed at the top of the page.
I’d also at least consider Bloomberg at this stage, though he’s probably not “my guy”.
I don’t really get this dynasty argument. I don’t think having a relative who held the office is a reason to vote *for* someone. But I don’t see why it disqualifies them either.
In general I’m all for the best person getting the job. But this country has, for the most part, avoided familial inheritance of the position of President – to its benefit, I would submit. Having 24 to 28 years of leadership from only two families borders on unhealthy in my opinion.
… the election is still over 15 months away, and, quite frankly most Americans’ impression of Hillary has been fueled by the media. I have a hunch that most people have not even seriously considered her as a candidate, that is most people fail to grasp her as a separate entity from her husband and have not even attempted to seriously consider that she could be the next Commander in Chief…the very idea of a woman President is so far out of the realm of possibility for most Americans their response to the question of supporting her is a knee-jerk hell no! Only when she has secured the nomination will the general public seriously consider Senator Clinton as a prospective candidate.
As the election nears, I expect this negative perspective to shift…dramatically…especially among Independents…Independents who despite any lingering reservations against having a Clinton back in the West Wing, will be much more inclined to support a Democrat who they can trust and doesn’t have any hidden baggage, a Democrat who represents a new era in American Politics (no…I don’t buy the dynasty bullsh*t…Bush Sr. was nothing like Bush Jr.), and, perhaps most important to those oh so precious moderate Americans…a Democrat who will nominate Supreme Court Justices that respect legal precedent and protect the constitution.
GW Bush used to say that he was a the master of low expectations. I think Hillary is the same way. Every group who has close contact with her is impressed by how likable she is and how smart she is. She changes minds when given a chance.
There isn’t much left to drive Hillary’s negatives up – the Repubs have been throwing every bit of mud they can muster at her for years. But people who don’t really know her will be pleasantly surprised.
I am not a Hillary supporter in the primary. But I don’t underestimate her either. And if she wins the primary, I will be very happy to give her my full support in the general.
Your poll numbers almost perfectly mirror the odds given in the Economist, which factors in fund-raising…
http://www.economist…